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America’s Incredibly Shrinking Population

Was Live Friday, December 12, 2025 | 11am PST

Guest Speakers

Event Overview

The United States is edging toward population decline as birth rates fall, the population ages, and immigration slows, removing the country’s longtime demographic safety valve. Under lower-immigration scenarios, the U.S. population could shrink as low as 226 million by the year 2100, according to data from the US Census Bureau.

This trend mirrors a global shift already reshaping Europe and East Asia. Two-thirds of humanity lives in countries with fertility below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per family. By 2100, populations in some major economies will fall by 20 to 50 percent, based on UN projections.

Speakers this week will discuss the factors leading to negative population growth; the impact to the economy, including a shrinking labor force; and possible implications for the environment.

Presented by ACoM

Cover Image Credit: Canva Photos

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